Match

Würzburger Kickers vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg

Würzburger KickersFC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Würzburger Kickers starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,925).

Würzburger Kickers win60 %
Draw21 %
FC Ingolstadt 04 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Würzburger Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 20261. FC Köln(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026SV Wehen(home)4-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-23. Liga
Jul 30, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-1Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Würzburger Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga
Jan 6, 2022FC Ingolstadt 04 3-1 Würzburger KickersFriendlies Clubs
Feb 9, 2020Würzburger Kickers 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Aug 2, 2019FC Ingolstadt 04 3-0 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Würzburger Kickers on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Würzburger Kickers2.90.8510/1512/15
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Würzburger Kickers2110624
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Würzburger Kickers and FC Ingolstadt 04

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