FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Preußen Münster: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Preußen Münster?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,924) and Preußen Münster (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Preußen Münster have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Preußen Münster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Jan 24, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Preußen Münster 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Jun 13, 2020 | Preußen Münster 0-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Preußen Münster sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Preußen Münster?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Preußen Münster played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Preußen Münster is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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