Match

MSV Duisburg vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgVerl

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Verl?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,983).

53%22%25%
MSV Duisburg winDrawVerl win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MSV Duisburg vs Verl

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MSV Duisburg

3-4-3
  1. 11D. Kother
  2. 14C. Noß
  3. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 29J. Bitter
  3. 8A. Casar
  4. 3F. Christensen
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 4Martin Ens
  1. 1M. Braune

Verl

4-2-3-1
  1. 25T. Heike
  1. 21M. Clausen
  2. 20A. Leipold
  3. 8D. Waidner
  4. 30A. Mešanović
  5. 6J. Eze
  1. 19N. Kijewski
  2. 5Nick Seidel
  3. 34Janne Berner
  4. 22N. König
  1. 1T. Schlieck

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Verl have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga
Sep 12, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)1-23. Liga
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(home)2-23. Liga
Oct 11, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)2-23. Liga
Oct 3, 2026Hannover 96(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)1-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MSV Duisburg wins, 1 draw, 1 Verl win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Verl 2-4 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Feb 8, 2026MSV Duisburg 4-2 Verl3. Liga
Aug 30, 2025Verl 2-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Feb 10, 2024Verl 1-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Sep 15, 2023MSV Duisburg 2-3 Verl3. Liga
Mar 18, 2023MSV Duisburg 3-3 Verl3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Verl vs MSV Duisburg on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15
Verl1.42.029/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (24 points from 9 matches) and Verl sit 13th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg9801261124
13Verl9333141712

A question about MSV Duisburg vs Verl?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Verl?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Verl.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Verl played?
MSV Duisburg vs Verl is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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