Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Alemannia Aachen (2,027) and Fortuna Köln (2,037).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fortuna Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln 1-1 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Fortuna Köln 0-1 Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Fortuna Köln 1-0 Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Alemannia Aachen 1-2 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Köln.
- Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln played?
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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