Match

Havelse vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen

HavelseRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Havelse vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Rot-Weiß Essen starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,824).

Havelse win34 %
Draw21 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Havelse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stuttgart II(home)2-33. Liga
Jul 31, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Havelse win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Havelse3. Liga
Jan 24, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 Havelse3. Liga
Aug 9, 2025Havelse 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Havelse1.52.3210/1511/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353
17Havelse2002240

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Havelse vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Havelse.
Where and when is Havelse vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Havelse vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Havelse and Rot-Weiß Essen

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