FC Juarez vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on November 27, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
Full time
What was the result of FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on November 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′J. MurilloFC Juarez
- 56′A. BriseñoToluca
- 65′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Juarez have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Juarez win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Toluca 3-2 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Toluca 2-4 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Juarez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Toluca | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Juarez sit 18th in Liga MX (0 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy