FC Juarez vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on November 27, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
Full time
What was the result of FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on November 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′J. MurilloFC Juarez
- 56′A. BriseñoToluca
- 65′PaulinhoToluca
Official lineup for FC Juarez vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
FC Juarez
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 31R. Morales
- 8N. Castro
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 10J. Angulo
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 3A. Briseño
- 2D. Barbosa
- 1H. González
Toluca
4-4-2- 19Ó. Estupiñán
- 11J. Rodríguez
- 17R. Pizarro
- 21Ricardinho
- 18H. Martínez
- 8Guilherme Castilho
- 4A. Mayorga
- 26J. García
- 2J. Murillo
- 5D. García
- 1S. Jurado
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Juarez have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Juarez win, 2 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Toluca 3-2 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Toluca 2-4 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Juarez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Toluca | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Juarez sit 18th in Liga MX (4 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 4 |
A question about FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy