Akron vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Akron. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akron vs Spartak Moscow?
Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akron have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Akron win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Spartak Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 4-3 Akron | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Akron 1-1 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Akron 2-3 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Akron 2-3 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Spartak Moscow 4-0 Akron | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Akron 2-1 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs Akron on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akron sit 16th in Premier League (2 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akron vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Akron.
- Where and when is Akron vs Spartak Moscow played?
- Akron vs Spartak Moscow is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.