FC Lugano vs Celje: result 5-4 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16Kick-off on March 13, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Lugano vs Celje?
FC Lugano won 5-4 on March 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′H. MahmoudFC Lugano
- 40′S. SešlarCelje
- 42′G. KoutsiasFC Lugano
- 44′Daniel Dos SantosFC Lugano
- 68′T. SvetlinCelje
- 80′G. KoutsiasFC Lugano
- 90′A. KučysCelje (pen.)
- 97′Juanjo NietoCelje
- 118′O. DoumbiaFC Lugano
- 120′EdmilsonCelje (pen.)
- 120′S. SešlarCelje (pen.)
- 120′L. MaiFC Lugano (pen.)
- 120′Ž. KarničnikCelje (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Celje have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FC Zurich(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 0-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Primorje(home) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Mar 6, 2025 | FC Lugano(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Radomlje(home) | 9-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Lugano win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Celje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | Celje 1-0 FC Lugano | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Celje | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy