Celje vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celje. The most likely score is 1-1. If Omonia Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,103 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 7B. Verbič
- 8M. Kvesić
- 2P. Širvys
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Omonia Nicosia
4-2-3-1- 99L. Diony
- 74P. Andreou
- 11Ewandro
- 14M. Marić
- 7J. Montnor
- 22M. Tankovic
- 29J. Balkovec
- 5S. Coulibaly
- 93J. Duverne
- 37Ľ. Šatka
- 40Fabiano
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 2-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aris(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 29th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Omonia Nicosia sit 15th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Celje.
- Where and when is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia is played on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.