Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dinamo Zagreb wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On Elo ratings, Dinamo Zagreb has 2,059 points and HNK Hajduk Split 2,023.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1- 9D. Beljo
- 27J. Mišić
- 10L. Stojković
- 7Dani Rodríguez
- 11A. Hoxha
- 8M. Zajc
- 15N. Galešić
- 36Sergi Domínguez
- 25M. Valinčić
- 3B. Goda
- 24D. Kotarski
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 7A. Sanyang
- 9Dali
- 23M. Šotiček
- 8K. Fayad
- 22M. Acapandié
- 6D. Hadžikadunić
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
- 33T. Silić
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Oct 27, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 5-1 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 5-0 | HNL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Zagreb wins, 1 draw, 1 HNK Hajduk Split win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| May 9, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Mar 8, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Sep 20, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| May 3, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 2nd in HNL (22 points from 11 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 22 |
A question about Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for HNK Hajduk Split.
- Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.