Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Dinamo Zagreb starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 2,043).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 2-2 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Zagreb win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 HNK Hajduk Split win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Mar 8, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Sep 20, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| May 3, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st in HNL (9 points from 3 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for HNK Hajduk Split.
- Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.