FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, Armavir
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pyunik Yerevan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
FC Noah starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Noah have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Pyunik Yerevan have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Van(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Noah win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pyunik Yerevan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 FC Noah | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | FC Noah 0-0 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | FC Noah 2-2 Pyunik Yerevan | Cup |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan 1-2 FC Noah | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Noah 3-1 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | FC Noah 2-1 Pyunik Yerevan | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Noah on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pyunik Yerevan score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pyunik Yerevan | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Noah sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Pyunik Yerevan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Pyunik Yerevan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pyunik Yerevan.
- Where and when is FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan played?
- FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Armaviri Hakob Tonoyani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.