Ararat vs Shirak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Shirak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs Shirak?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Ararat (1,482) and Shirak (1,479).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs Shirak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 8P. Alekyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 18Malick Berte
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Shirak
4-3-3- 10D. Kodia
- 53M. Harutyunyan
- 66V. Sargsyan
- 6R. Misakyan
- 8L. Darbinyan
- 19S. Tsarukyan
- 2H. Pahlevanyan
- 5T. Sumbulyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 55L. Karapetyan
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Shirak have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Van(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ararat wins, 1 draw, 2 Shirak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Shirak 0-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ararat 1-0 Shirak | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ararat 0-0 Shirak | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Shirak 4-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Shirak 1-3 Ararat | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Ararat 1-2 Shirak | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shirak score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Shirak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 8 matches) and Shirak sit 7th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shirak | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Ararat vs Shirak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Shirak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Ararat vs Shirak played?
- Ararat vs Shirak is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.