FC Orenburg vs Akron: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Akron. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Akron?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate FC Orenburg (1,843) and Akron (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Akron have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Orenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Akron win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Orenburg 2-0 Akron | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Akron 1-2 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Akron 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | FC Orenburg 2-2 Akron | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Akron 0-3 FC Orenburg | First League |
| Aug 21, 2021 | FC Orenburg 1-0 Akron | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Akron sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Orenburg vs Akron?
- The Footlab model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Akron.
- Where and when is FC Orenburg vs Akron played?
- FC Orenburg vs Akron is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.