FC Orenburg vs Rubin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Orenburg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate FC Orenburg (1,870) and Rubin (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Orenburg vs Rubin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1- 30G. Guzina
- 20D. Rybchinskiy
- 78R. Kul
- 8D. Puebla
- 57E. Bolotov
- 10J. Thompson
- 26E. Tsenov
- 5A. Tataev
- 24M. Sivis
- 6J. Palacios
- 1B. Ovsyannikov
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 11N. Gripshi
- 14I. Saavedra
- 71I. Samoshnikov
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Rubin have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Orenburg wins, 3 draws, 0 Rubin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rubin 1-4 FC Orenburg | Cup |
| Sep 2, 2026 | FC Orenburg 1-1 Rubin | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin 1-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Rubin 1-2 FC Orenburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rubin 0-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Orenburg 1-0 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 7th in Premier League (12 points from 10 matches) and Rubin sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
A question about FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Orenburg vs Rubin?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rubin.
- Where and when is FC Orenburg vs Rubin played?
- FC Orenburg vs Rubin is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.