FC Rostov vs Zenit: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rostov Arena, Rostov-na-Donu
The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for FC Rostov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Zenit?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (2,182 vs 1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rostov have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zenit have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Akron(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Rostov win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Zenit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Zenit 2-1 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Zenit 2-0 FC Rostov | Cup |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FC Rostov 1-2 Zenit | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rostov score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Zenit | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rostov sit 12th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Zenit sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zenit | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rostov vs Zenit?
- The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for FC Rostov.
- Where and when is FC Rostov vs Zenit played?
- FC Rostov vs Zenit is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rostov Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.