Akhmat vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Akhmat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs Fakel?
On Elo ratings, Akhmat has 1,893 points and Fakel 1,854.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Akhmat vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 18Júlio Romão
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 20M. Samorodov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Fakel
3-4-3- 11A. Sutormin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 7M. Turishchev
- 55D. Todorović
- 23V. Yakimov
- 97B. Magomedov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 1D. Frolkin
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Fakel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Akhmat win, 2 draws, 3 Fakel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akhmat 2-1 Fakel | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Fakel 0-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Fakel 0-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Akhmat 2-3 Fakel | Premier League |
| May 25, 2024 | Fakel 2-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Akhmat 1-2 Fakel | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akhmat sit 11th in Premier League (11 points from 10 matches) and Fakel sit 16th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Akhmat vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs Fakel played?
- Akhmat vs Fakel is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.