Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lukoil Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,100 vs 1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Moscow win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-2 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow sit 2nd in Premier League (12 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lukoil Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.