FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken
The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate FC Saarbrücken (1,905) and Hansa Rostock (1,978).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken 3-4 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 1-1 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 0-0 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Saarbrücken 2-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Hansa Rostock 4-2 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Sep 26, 2020 | FC Saarbrücken 2-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hansa Rostock.
- Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock played?
- FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 29, 2026VerlvsFortuna Köln
- Aug 29, 2026Alemannia AachenvsSV Meppen
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