MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Würzburger Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,026) and Würzburger Kickers (2,079).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Würzburger Kickers have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| May 28, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Würzburger Kickers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | Würzburger Kickers 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 4, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Jun 13, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Würzburger Kickers 0-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Würzburger Kickers.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsStuttgart II
- Aug 29, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Aug 29, 2026SV WehenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Aug 29, 2026Alemannia AachenvsSV Meppen
- Aug 29, 2026VerlvsFortuna Köln
- Aug 29, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Aug 30, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsHansa Rostock
- Aug 30, 2026HavelsevsWaldhof Mannheim