Match

MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Würzburger Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,026) and Würzburger Kickers (2,079).

MSV Duisburg win38 %
Draw24 %
Würzburger Kickers win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Würzburger Kickers have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Würzburger Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026SV Wehen(home)4-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-23. Liga
Jul 30, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-1Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
May 28, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)1-0Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Würzburger Kickers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2022Würzburger Kickers 1-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Sep 4, 2021MSV Duisburg 2-0 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga
Jun 13, 2020MSV Duisburg 1-1 Würzburger Kickers3. Liga
Oct 26, 2019Würzburger Kickers 0-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Würzburger Kickers vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15
Würzburger Kickers2.90.7510/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
3Würzburger Kickers2110624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Würzburger Kickers.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers played?
MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: MSV Duisburg and Würzburger Kickers

Ready to know everything about football?