Where and when is Verl vs Fortuna Köln played?

Verl vs Fortuna Köln is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Verl vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl

Fortuna Köln

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs Fortuna Köln?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Verl (1,963) and Fortuna Köln (2,031).

Verl win38 %

Draw24 %

Fortuna Köln win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	2-4	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-4	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(home)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VVV Venlo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Verl win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 20, 2019	Fortuna Köln 0-2 Verl	Regionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Verl on Sep 20, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Verl	1.7	1.5	5	6/15	10/15
Fortuna Köln	1.7	1.1	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
19	Verl	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs Fortuna Köln?: The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Fortuna Köln.
Where and when is Verl vs Fortuna Köln played?: Verl vs Fortuna Köln is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.