Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

FC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (2,049 vs 1,918).

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win58 %

Draw21 %

FC Ingolstadt 04 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(home)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SV Meppen(away)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Fortuna Köln(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	2-7	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	VfR Aalen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2020	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	3. Liga
Oct 5, 2019	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-5 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on Jun 7, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2.0	1.3	7	5/15	7/15
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04?: The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.