Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenFC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Saarbrücken?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).

Rot-Weiß Essen win48 %
Draw23 %
FC Saarbrücken win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
FC Saarbrücken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)5-23. Liga
Jul 26, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken 5-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 26, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Nov 29, 2025FC Saarbrücken 2-3 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 26, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 0-3 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Dec 1, 2024FC Saarbrücken 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 24, 2024FC Saarbrücken 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15
FC Saarbrücken1.51.359/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Saarbrücken2200626
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Saarbrücken?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Saarbrücken played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Saarbrücken is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Saarbrücken

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