FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for FK Neftekhimik. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Sochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik?
FC Sochi starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 27K. Zaika
- 51T. Mitrov
FK Neftekhimik
3-4-2-1- 12E. Mukba
- 8D. Sukhomlinov
- 38V. Aleynikov
- 85I. Pyatkin
- 19L. Sharifullin
- 96N. Vasilyev
- 15A. Bondar
- 6N. Pechenkin
- 24A. Kakhidze
- 22I. Khomukha
- 1A. Golubev
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; FK Neftekhimik have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 2-4 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 FC Sochi wins, 1 draw, 0 FK Neftekhimik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik 1-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| May 10, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik 1-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FC Sochi 2-0 FK Neftekhimik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 3, 2024 | FC Sochi 3-2 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Jan 22, 2023 | FC Sochi 3-0 FK Neftekhimik | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FK Neftekhimik score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (32 points from 16 matches) and FK Neftekhimik sit 17th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 32 |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
A question about FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for FK Neftekhimik.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik played?
- FC Sochi vs FK Neftekhimik is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.