Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
The Footlab AI model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tekstilshchik. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shinnik Yaroslavl wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,728) and Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tekstilshchik
4-4-2- 83N. Ishchenko
- 91A. Pomalyuk
- 30D. Simonov
- 7A. Dzhebov
- 21D. Ivanisenya
- 46N. Pershin
- 23D. Ivannikov
- 27A. Krutovskikh
- 66Y. Petin
- 74E. Guziev
- 58S. Fadeev
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-4-1-2- 15D. Samoylov
- 10A. Gongapshev
- 24I. Azyavin
- 54I. Shmakov
- 50A. Golubev
- 64O. Lanin
- 13D. Yanov
- 62V. Karpov
- 17E. Valiakhmetov
- 27A. Cherny
- 66N. Yanovich
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Shinnik Yaroslavl have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tekstilshchik wins, 2 draws, 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Tekstilshchik 0-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-3 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-2 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 3-0 Tekstilshchik | First League |
Last archived meeting: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tekstilshchik score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tekstilshchik sit 18th in First League (11 points from 16 matches) and Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 23 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tekstilshchik.
- Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl played?
- Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.