Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ural. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,833) and Ural (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ural have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ural win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ural 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| May 7, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Ural 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Ural 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural on Dec 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (18 points from 7 matches) and Ural sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ural.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.