Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab AI model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ural. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nizhny Novgorod wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,928) and Ural (1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nizhny Novgorod
4-2-3-1- 11G. Popolitov
- 22N. Kakkoev
- 78N. Kalinskiy
- 18A. Sokolov
- 19N. Ermakov
- 9V. Sarveli
- 2V. Aleksandrov
- 3Y. Koledin
- 66Y. Gudkov
- 7I. Bober
- 98I. Imamov
Ural
3-5-2- 97I. Ishkov
- 10M. Sekulić
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 59E. Kharin
- 99B. Fourrier
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 2S. Begić
- 24A. Korotkov
- 57A. Selikhov
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Ural have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ural(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nizhny Novgorod wins, 2 draws, 0 Ural wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ural 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ural 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| May 7, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Ural 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Ural | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (43 points from 16 matches) and Ural sit 4th (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
A question about Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ural.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.