FC Urartu vs Ararat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes FC Urartu the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Ararat. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Urartu wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Urartu vs Ararat?
FC Urartu starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Urartu vs Ararat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Urartu
4-3-3- 28K. Ishibashi
- 9M. Rajani
- 27M. Velosa
- 5Alef
- 77G. Lulukyan
- 21L. Bashoyan
- 15V. Veremeev
- 44Y. Tsymbalyuk
- 4A. Ghazaryan
- 3E. Piloyan
- 92A. Mishiev
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 8P. Alekyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 18Malick Berte
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Urartu have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ararat have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Van(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Urartu wins, 1 draw, 1 Ararat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu 2-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Ararat 0-1 FC Urartu | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | FC Urartu 2-3 Ararat | Cup |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Ararat 0-3 FC Urartu | Cup |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Ararat 0-1 FC Urartu | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | FC Urartu 6-0 Ararat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Urartu score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Urartu | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ararat | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Urartu sit 5th in Premier League (15 points from 10 matches) and Ararat sit 8th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Urartu | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Ararat | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 11 |
A question about FC Urartu vs Ararat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Urartu vs Ararat?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Urartu the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Ararat.
- Where and when is FC Urartu vs Ararat played?
- FC Urartu vs Ararat is played on May 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Urartu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.