Jong Ajax vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
Vitesse starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,546).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Ajax vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Ajax
4-2-3-1- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 7J. Simeon
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 19Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1J. Heerkens
Vitesse
4-4-2- 9N. Bannis
- 19J. Hilterman
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 24N. Markelo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 14O. Achouitar
- 55M. Steffen
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vitesse have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Jong Ajax win, 2 draws, 1 Vitesse win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Vitesse 6-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Jong Ajax 2-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Vitesse 2-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 1.2 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 1.2 | 2.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Vitesse sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Ajax vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Jong Ajax vs Vitesse played?
- Jong Ajax vs Vitesse is played on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.