MVV vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If VVV Venlo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MVV vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate MVV (1,606) and VVV Venlo (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MVV vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 21D. Asante
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 1H. Wentges
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 9M. Tsigkas
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 5Lars de Blok
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MVV wins, 1 draw, 1 VVV Venlo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | MVV 2-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | VVV Venlo 1-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2025 | VVV Venlo 0-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 13, 2024 | MVV 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 10, 2024 | MVV 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 13, 2023 | VVV Venlo 1-3 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MVV sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 9 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 16 |
A question about MVV vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MVV vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for MVV.
- Where and when is MVV vs VVV Venlo played?
- MVV vs VVV Venlo is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at De Geusselt, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.