FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Lidl Arena, Wil
The Footlab model makes FC Aarau the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC WIL 1900. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau?
FC Aarau starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC WIL 1900 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Aarau have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebstein(away) | 6-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 0-5 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 5-4 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 3-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC WIL 1900 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Aarau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | FC Aarau 2-2 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | FC Aarau 2-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 1-3 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| May 9, 2025 | FC Aarau 2-4 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC WIL 1900 score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Aarau score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC WIL 1900 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Aarau | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC WIL 1900 sit 9th in Challenge League (3 points from 4 matches) and FC Aarau sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Aarau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau?
- The Footlab model makes FC Aarau the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC WIL 1900.
- Where and when is FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau played?
- FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau is played on August 31, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Lidl Arena, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.