Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Centre sportif de Colovray, Nyon
The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stade Nyonnais. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur?
FC Winterthur starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Nyonnais have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; FC Winterthur have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Nyonnais score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Nyonnais | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Nyonnais sit 10th in Challenge League (1 points from 4 matches) and FC Winterthur sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur?
- The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Stade Nyonnais.
- Where and when is Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur played?
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Centre sportif de Colovray, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.