Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport?
Yverdon Sport starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neuchatel Xamax FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Yverdon Sport have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Terre Sainte(away) | 5-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Yverdon Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Yverdon Sport 2-2 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-2 Yverdon Sport | Schweizer Cup |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 2-2 Yverdon Sport | Challenge League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Yverdon Sport 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Yverdon Sport 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neuchatel Xamax FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yverdon Sport score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Yverdon Sport | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 2nd in Challenge League (9 points from 4 matches) and Yverdon Sport sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Yverdon Sport the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
- Where and when is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport played?
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Maladière, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.