Rapperswil vs FC Aarau: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueMatchday 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sportstadion Grünfeld, Jona
The Footlab AI model makes FC Aarau the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Rapperswil. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Aarau wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,999 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapperswil vs FC Aarau?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Rapperswil (1,676) and FC Aarau (1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rapperswil vs FC Aarau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rapperswil
4-2-3-1- 9N. Mupemba
- 10S. Diarrassouba
- 7Y. Ryter
- 31L. Emini
- 26A. Charveys
- 8V. Hamdiu
- 37W. Le Pogam
- 28J. Ambassa
- 3B. Morgado
- 4I. Beka
- 18A. Omerovic
FC Aarau
4-3-3- 18D. Afriyie
- 11H. Koide
- 7M. Guindo
- 6I. Aliu
- 20K. Ndau
- 80A. Beka Beka
- 2M. Thaler
- 29M. Dickenmann
- 3R. Guzzo
- 5D. Acquah
- 30A. Hirzel
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapperswil have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; FC Aarau have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 1-4 | Challenge League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 0-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 3-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(home) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rapperswil win, 0 draws, 5 FC Aarau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Aarau 3-2 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rapperswil 4-5 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Aarau 5-3 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | FC Aarau 2-1 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Rapperswil 0-1 FC Aarau | Challenge League |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Rapperswil 2-1 FC Aarau | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Aarau vs Rapperswil on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapperswil score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Aarau score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Aarau | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapperswil sit 9th in Challenge League (11 points from 13 matches) and FC Aarau sit 6th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Aarau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | Rapperswil | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Rapperswil vs FC Aarau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapperswil vs FC Aarau?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Aarau the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Rapperswil.
- Where and when is Rapperswil vs FC Aarau played?
- Rapperswil vs FC Aarau is played on November 20, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportstadion Grünfeld, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.