Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
The Footlab model makes Neuchatel Xamax FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Stade Nyonnais. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais?
Neuchatel Xamax FC starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neuchatel Xamax FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Nyonnais have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Neuchatel Xamax FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Stade Nyonnais win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 4-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Schweizer Cup |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| May 16, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neuchatel Xamax FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Nyonnais score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Stade Nyonnais | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 2nd in Challenge League (9 points from 4 matches) and Stade Nyonnais sit 10th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais?
- The Footlab model makes Neuchatel Xamax FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Stade Nyonnais.
- Where and when is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais played?
- Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Nyonnais is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Maladière, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.