FC Winterthur vs Rapperswil: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Rapperswil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Rapperswil?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate FC Winterthur (1,776) and Rapperswil (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Winterthur have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rapperswil have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Winterthur(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 4-5 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 FC Winterthur win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rapperswil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil 0-2 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Jun 28, 2024 | FC Winterthur 3-2 Rapperswil | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2024 | FC Winterthur 4-0 Rapperswil | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2023 | Rapperswil 0-2 FC Winterthur | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2019 | Rapperswil 1-4 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Feb 20, 2019 | FC Winterthur 2-0 Rapperswil | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Rapperswil vs FC Winterthur on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rapperswil score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rapperswil | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Winterthur sit 4th in Challenge League (7 points from 4 matches) and Rapperswil sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Rapperswil | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Winterthur vs Rapperswil?
- The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Rapperswil.
- Where and when is FC Winterthur vs Rapperswil played?
- FC Winterthur vs Rapperswil is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Schützenwiese, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.