FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Maarjamäe Staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FCI Levadia II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Nõmme Kalju II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
FCI Levadia II starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,313 vs 1,169).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCI Levadia II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Nõmme Kalju II have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FCI Levadia II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nõmme Kalju II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II 0-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| May 11, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II 1-0 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 2-0 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 4-1 Nõmme Kalju II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | FCI Levadia II 0-0 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | FCI Levadia II 3-3 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme Kalju II score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Nõmme Kalju II | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCI Levadia II sit 9th in Esiliiga A (15 points from 16 matches) and Nõmme Kalju II sit 7th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 67 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
- The Footlab model makes FCI Levadia II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Nõmme Kalju II.
- Where and when is FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II played?
- FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II is played on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Maarjamäe Staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.