FCM Ungheni vs Iskra: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ungheni, Ungheni
The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Iskra. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCM Ungheni vs Iskra?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate FCM Ungheni (1,336) and Iskra (1,308).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCM Ungheni have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Iskra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(home) | 10-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Univer Comrat(away) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FCM Ungheni win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Iskra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Iskra 1-0 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 3-1 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Iskra 2-1 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 2-2 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | FCM Ungheni 4-3 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Iskra 2-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Iskra score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Iskra | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCM Ungheni sit 3rd in Liga 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Iskra sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Iskra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCM Ungheni vs Iskra?
- The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Iskra.
- Where and when is FCM Ungheni vs Iskra played?
- FCM Ungheni vs Iskra is played on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ungheni, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.