FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat: prediction and stats
CupaRound of 32Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ungheni, Ungheni
The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Olimp Comrat. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat?
FCM Ungheni starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,337 vs 1,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCM Ungheni have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Olimp Comrat have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sheriff II(away) | 2-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(home) | 3-4 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 0-4 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FCM Ungheni win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Olimp Comrat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Olimp Comrat 2-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 2-4 Olimp Comrat | Liga 1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Olimp Comrat 4-1 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | FCM Ungheni 1-3 Olimp Comrat | Liga 1 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Olimp Comrat 0-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Olimp Comrat 3-0 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimp Comrat vs FCM Ungheni on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimp Comrat score 1.3 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 92% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Olimp Comrat | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat?
- The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Olimp Comrat.
- Where and when is FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat played?
- FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat is played on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ungheni, in the Cupa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 92% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.