Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti: prediction and stats
CupaRound of 32Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Joma Arena, Chişinău
The Footlab model makes Victoria Bardar the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Făleşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Victoria Bardar (1,165) and Făleşti (1,123).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Bardar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Făleşti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Victoria Bardar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Făleşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti 1-0 Victoria Bardar | Liga 1 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Victoria Bardar 1-2 Făleşti | Liga 1 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Făleşti 1-2 Victoria Bardar | Cupa |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Făleşti 0-4 Victoria Bardar | Super Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Victoria Bardar 5-1 Făleşti | Super Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Victoria Bardar 6-2 Făleşti | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Bardar score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Făleşti score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Bardar | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Făleşti | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Bardar the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Făleşti.
- Where and when is Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti played?
- Victoria Bardar vs Făleşti is played on September 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Joma Arena, in the Cupa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.