FCSB vs Rapid: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti
The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rapid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCSB vs Rapid?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate FCSB (1,796) and Rapid (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rapid have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 2-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Botosani(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FCSB win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Rapid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | FCSB 2-1 Rapid | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Rapid 2-2 FCSB | Liga I |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Rapid 1-2 FCSB | Liga I |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FCSB 3-3 Rapid | Liga I |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Rapid 0-0 FCSB | Liga I |
| Oct 27, 2024 | FCSB 0-0 Rapid | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Rapid | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCSB sit 3rd in Liga I (11 points from 6 matches) and Rapid sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rapid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | FCSB | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCSB vs Rapid?
- The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rapid.
- Where and when is FCSB vs Rapid played?
- FCSB vs Rapid is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026CFR 1907 ClujvsDinamo Bucuresti
- Oct 24, 2026FC BotosanivsPetrolul Ploiesti
- Oct 24, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorghevsUniversitatea Craiova
- Oct 24, 2026Arges PitestivsUta Arad
- Oct 24, 2026Farul ConstantavsOţelul
- Oct 24, 2026CsikszeredavsFC Voluntari
- Oct 24, 2026Corvinul HunedoaravsUniversitatea Cluj