Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc, Mioveni
The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Arges Pitesti (1,768) and Uta Arad (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arges Pitesti have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Uta Arad have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arges Pitesti win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Uta Arad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Arges Pitesti 0-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Uta Arad 3-3 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| May 8, 2023 | Arges Pitesti 2-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Uta Arad 0-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Arges Pitesti 2-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Uta Arad 0-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arges Pitesti sit 4th in Liga I (10 points from 5 matches) and Uta Arad sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad?
- The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Uta Arad.
- Where and when is Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad played?
- Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.