Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Sepsi OSK, Sfântu Gheorghe
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Universitatea Craiova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| May 18, 2024 | Universitatea Craiova 3-2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-3 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-3 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Dec 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th in Liga I (7 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Craiova sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova played?
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Sepsi OSK, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.