Farul Constanta vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Farul Constanta (1,692) and Oţelul (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Oţelul have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farul Constanta win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Oţelul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta 0-0 Oţelul | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Oţelul 3-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Oţelul 2-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Farul Constanta 3-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| May 16, 2025 | Oţelul 0-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Farul Constanta 0-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Oţelul on Jul 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 6th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Oţelul played?
- Farul Constanta vs Oţelul is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.