Farul Constanta vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab AI model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farul Constanta wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
On Elo ratings, Farul Constanta has 1,798 points and Oţelul 1,782.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farul Constanta
3-4-3- 20E. Rădăslăvescu
- 7D. Alibec
- 28C. Sima
- 70M. Ahlinvi
- 23T. Njiké
- 11C. Ganea
- 3V. Țicu
- 24S. Bouzamoucha
- 5N. Aberdin
- 6V. Dican
- 12R. Munteanu
Oţelul
4-2-3-1- 9Patrick
- 27Pedro Nuno
- 10Andrézinho
- 39T. Lungu
- 17A. Ciobanu
- 24D. Bordun
- 6P. Iacob
- 3G. Christopoulos
- 28Miguel Silva
- 2M. Zhelev
- 1C. Dur-Bozoancă
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Oţelul have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 4-2 | Liga I |
| Sep 4, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 0-3 | Liga I |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 28, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farul Constanta win, 3 draws, 2 Oţelul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta 0-0 Oţelul | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Oţelul 3-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Oţelul 2-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Farul Constanta 3-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| May 16, 2025 | Oţelul 0-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Farul Constanta 0-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Oţelul on Jul 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 6th in Liga I (14 points from 10 matches) and Oţelul sit 14th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Oţelul played?
- Farul Constanta vs Oţelul is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.