Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (2,179 vs 1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 91N. Kanté
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 7K. Aktürkoğlu
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 3A. Brown
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 31Ederson
Alanyaspor
3-4-2-1- 22Paolo Fernandes
- 94F. Hadërgjonaj
- 42G. Makouta
- 11Ruan
- 55B. Gezek
- 58Maestro
- 8E. Keskin
- 5F. Aliti
- 3Nuno Lima
- 20F. Aksoy
- 48Paulo Victor
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Alanyaspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fenerbahçe wins, 2 draws, 0 Alanyaspor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Alanyaspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Alanyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Alanyaspor 0-1 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahçe on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alanyaspor score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Alanyaspor | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 6th in Süper Lig (10 points from 6 matches) and Alanyaspor sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.