Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Trabzonspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beşiktaş wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Trabzonspor (2,033) and Beşiktaş (2,097).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1- 30P. Onuachu
- 6Fabinho
- 10Mohamed Salah
- 7E. Muçi
- 11O. Tufan
- 57M. Kabasakal
- 15S. Savić
- 19M. Eskihellaç
- 27C. Nwaiwu
- 20Wagner Pina
- 24A. Onana
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 6S. Özcan
- 10O. Kökçü
- 15J. Olaitan
- 18V. Černý
- 29I. Fakili
- 12E. Agbadou
- 62A. Murillo
- 33R. Yılmaz
- 35Tiago Djaló
- 1A. Nübel
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Beşiktaş have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 5-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amed(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 6-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trabzonspor win, 2 draws, 3 Beşiktaş wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-3 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| May 23, 2024 | Beşiktaş 3-2 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Beşiktaş 2-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 7th in Süper Lig (10 points from 6 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Trabzonspor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş played?
- Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.