Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Trabzonspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Trabzonspor (2,077) and Beşiktaş (2,129).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Beşiktaş have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trabzonspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Beşiktaş win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-3 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| May 23, 2024 | Beşiktaş 3-2 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Beşiktaş 2-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Trabzonspor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş played?
- Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.