Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenerbahçe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Fenerbahçe (2,176) and Galatasaray (2,112).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 9R. Lukaku
- 11M. Greenwood
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 91N. Kanté
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 70O. Aydın
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 3A. Brown
- 31Ederson
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 45V. Osimhen
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 53B. Yılmaz
- 83A. Batrakov
- 99M. Lemina
- 10L. Sané
- 6D. Sánchez
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 17E. Elmalı
- 7R. Sallai
- 1U. Çakır
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Galatasaray have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fenerbahçe win, 2 draws, 3 Galatasaray wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Galatasaray 0-2 Fenerbahçe | Super Cup |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 1-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 1-2 Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Galatasaray | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 3rd in Süper Lig (16 points from 8 matches) and Galatasaray sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Galatasaray.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray is played on March 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.