Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Başakşehir (2,038) and Beşiktaş (2,115).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Başakşehir have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Beşiktaş have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Başakşehir win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Beşiktaş win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-3 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Beşiktaş 0-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Başakşehir 0-0 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Başakşehir 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Beşiktaş 1-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Başakşehir sit 10th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş played?
- Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş is played on March 21, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.