Atenas vs Fenix: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 24Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atenas, San Carlos
The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atenas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atenas vs Fenix?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Atenas (1,661) and Fenix (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atenas vs Fenix
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atenas
Not enough data to predict the Atenas lineup.
Fenix
Not enough data to predict the Fenix lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atenas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fenix have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rentistas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tacuarembo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-3 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oriental(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-3 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atenas wins, 0 draws, 3 Fenix wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fenix 1-0 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Atenas 1-4 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Fenix 1-2 Atenas | Segunda División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Atenas 1-0 Fenix | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Fenix 2-1 Atenas | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Atenas 3-1 Fenix | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Atenas score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fenix score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fenix | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atenas sit 1st in Segunda División (41 points from 23 matches) and Fenix sit 10th (30 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 41 |
| 10 | Fenix | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 30 |
A question about Atenas vs Fenix?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atenas vs Fenix?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atenas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fenix.
- Where and when is Atenas vs Fenix played?
- Atenas vs Fenix is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atenas, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.