Match

Fénix vs Centro Español: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

FénixCentro Español

The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Fénix. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fénix vs Centro Español?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Fénix (1,510) and Centro Español (1,600).

Fénix win23 %
Draw31 %
Centro Español win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fénix have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Centro Español have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fénix
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Berazategui(away)2-2Primera C
Aug 10, 2026Central Ballester(home)3-1Primera C
Aug 4, 2026El Porvenir(away)0-0Primera C
Jul 27, 2026Yupanqui(home)1-1Primera C
Jul 17, 2026Puerto Nuevo(away)1-0Primera C
Centro Español
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 17, 2026Central Cordoba(home)2-2Primera C
Aug 8, 2026Berazategui(away)1-0Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Leones de Rosario(home)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Victoriano Arenas(home)0-1Primera C
Jul 25, 2026Lugano(away)0-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fénix win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Centro Español win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Centro Español 1-0 FénixPrimera C
May 14, 2012Centro Español 1-1 FénixPrimera D
Dec 10, 2011Fénix 1-0 Centro EspañolPrimera D

Last archived meeting: Centro Español vs Fénix on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fénix score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Centro Español score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fénix1.01.037/155/15
Centro Español1.31.066/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fénix sit 12th in Primera C (26 points from 24 matches) and Centro Español sit 6th (35 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Centro Español24987302235
12Fénix246810192526

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fénix vs Centro Español?
The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Fénix.
Where and when is Fénix vs Centro Español played?
Fénix vs Centro Español is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fénix and Centro Español

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