Where and when is Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir played?

Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Islas Malvinas, Ingeniero Adolfo Sourdeaux, Buenos Aires

Juventud Unida

El Porvenir

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Juventud Unida, 35% for a draw, 31% for El Porvenir. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Juventud Unida (1,554) and El Porvenir (1,548).

Juventud Unida win34 %

Draw35 %

El Porvenir win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud Unida have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; El Porvenir have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Juventud Unida
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Leandro N. Alem(away)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(away)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(home)	1-1	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Claypole(away)	2-0	Primera C

El Porvenir
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Fénix(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 28, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	2-3	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Juventud Unida win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 El Porvenir win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	El Porvenir 0-1 Juventud Unida	Primera C
Oct 6, 2024	Juventud Unida 1-0 El Porvenir	Primera C
May 4, 2024	El Porvenir 1-0 Juventud Unida	Primera C
Oct 14, 2023	El Porvenir 1-1 Juventud Unida	Primera D
Jul 9, 2023	Juventud Unida 1-1 El Porvenir	Primera D
Apr 1, 2023	Juventud Unida 2-0 El Porvenir	Primera D

Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Juventud Unida score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Juventud Unida	1.4	0.8	6	7/15	6/15
El Porvenir	0.5	0.8	8	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Juventud Unida sit 8th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and El Porvenir sit 10th (30 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Juventud Unida	25	9	8	8	28	24	35
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Juventud Unida, 35% for a draw, 31% for El Porvenir.
Where and when is Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir played?: Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Islas Malvinas, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.