Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Deportes, Luján, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 60%, against 29% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo Paraguayo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Lujan starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lujan have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Paraguayo have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud Unida(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Lujan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Paraguayo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo 0-2 Lujan | Primera C |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Lujan 2-0 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera C |
| May 24, 2025 | Deportivo Paraguayo 1-0 Lujan | Primera C |
| Jul 8, 2024 | Deportivo Paraguayo 0-2 Lujan | Primera C |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Lujan 2-1 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lujan on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lujan score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Paraguayo score 0.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lujan sit 1st in Primera C (46 points from 25 matches) and Deportivo Paraguayo sit 13th (23 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 46 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
- The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 60%, against 29% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo Paraguayo.
- Where and when is Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo played?
- Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Deportes, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Juventud UnidavsEl Porvenir
- Sep 12, 2026Central CordobavsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 12, 2026CanuelasvsVictoriano Arenas
- Sep 12, 2026Central BallestervsPuerto Nuevo
- Sep 12, 2026FénixvsCentro Español
- Sep 12, 2026JJ UrquizavsGeneral Lamadrid
- Sep 12, 2026BerazateguivsAtletico Atlas
- Sep 12, 2026ClaypolevsSacachispas