Match

Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Deportes, Luján, Provincia de Buenos Aires

LujanDeportivo Paraguayo

The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 60%, against 29% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo Paraguayo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Lujan starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,430).

Lujan win60 %
Draw29 %
Deportivo Paraguayo win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lujan have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Paraguayo have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lujan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Deportivo Español(away)0-0Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Lugano(away)2-1Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Central Cordoba(home)1-2Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Estrella Del Sur(away)2-0Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Claypole(away)3-1Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juventud Unida(home)2-1Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Sportivo Barracas(home)0-1Primera C
Aug 10, 2026Sacachispas(away)0-2Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Central Ballester(home)0-0Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Argentino Rosario(home)2-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Lujan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Paraguayo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Deportivo Paraguayo 0-2 LujanPrimera C
Sep 9, 2025Lujan 2-0 Deportivo ParaguayoPrimera C
May 24, 2025Deportivo Paraguayo 1-0 LujanPrimera C
Jul 8, 2024Deportivo Paraguayo 0-2 LujanPrimera C
Feb 3, 2024Lujan 2-1 Deportivo ParaguayoPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lujan on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lujan score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Paraguayo score 0.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lujan1.70.777/157/15
Deportivo Paraguayo0.41.153/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lujan sit 1st in Primera C (46 points from 25 matches) and Deportivo Paraguayo sit 13th (23 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lujan251375331946
13Deportivo Paraguayo255812143123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 60%, against 29% for a draw and 11% for Deportivo Paraguayo.
Where and when is Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo played?
Lujan vs Deportivo Paraguayo is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Deportes, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lujan and Deportivo Paraguayo

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